The Race Is Tightening - Not!
This is a classic example of how polls can be manipulated to try to favor one candidate or the other.
Public polls show Scott Walker leading Tom Barrett by a margin of around 6 points. So, how does that square with the new poll released yesterday by liberal polling outfit PPP showing only a 3 point lead? Well, let's look at the numbers.
In their second last poll, PPP had Walker leading Barrett 50% to 45%. Third candidate Hari Trivedi drew 2%. 3% were undecided. According to PPP, Barrett was the second choice of most Trivedi voters.
So what did PPP do in their latest polling? They didn't include Trivedi in the questioning. As a result, Barrett magically picks up 2% and the race supposedly "tightens"!
Of course, if Ross Perot wasn't on the ballot as a third-party candidate in 1992, George Bush would have never lost to Bill Clinton.
We'll know within 48 hours - but I think Walker is going to win by about the same margin he did in 2010. Maybe he'll do a percentage point better. Maybe he'll do a percentage point worse.
But I think he's going to win - and I really don't think it's going to be close.
As long as everybody gets out and votes!