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Today's Outlook

Warm and muggy holiday weekend.

It will be a warm and humid holiday weekend with scattered chances for rain showers and a few thunderstorms but not a complete wash-out.  Saturday will be mostly cloudy with chances for hit and miss showers and a stray thunderstorm likely ending before the dinner hour.  In between showers it will be warm and muggy with highs climbing into the upper 70s and low 80s in southeastern Wisconsin.  Any shower exits this evening and skies will gradually be clearing overnight but with all the moisture in the air and light wind, some patchy fog is possible.
Sunday is the pick day out of the holiday weekend with partly to mostly sunny skies and warm temps despite a lingering mugginess in the air it will be the driest day.  After highs reach the upper 70s at the lake and low 80s inland the clouds will begin to increase heading into Sunday night and a stray shower is possible by early Monday morning.  Labor Day will still be warm and muggy with the best chance for rain and storms in the morning and early afternoon hours as a cold front makes its way across the area.


The humidity drops on Tuesday behind the cold front and with clearing skies and seasonable highs in the mid-70s, it will be a pretty good day.  Rain chances return late in the day on Wednesday and continue off and on through next weekend.


From John Malan:
     People ask me how the warming atmosphere has affected the tornado climatology across the United States. Are we experiencing more tornadoes each year or more tornado days, or more days with multiple tornadoes? A new study just out indicates that while annual numbers of tornadoes have remained steady, the number of days with multiple twisters have increased significantly. There is a consistent decrease in the number of days with at least one tornado while at the same time there is an increase in the number of days with many tornadoes. The bottom line is that the risk of big tornado days featuring densely concentrated tornado outbreaks is on the rise across the country.

                  Days with at least 32 tornadoes show the largest upward trend. Big tornado days are also occurring in concentrated areas or clusters, instead of occurring across larger geographic areas.



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TODAY'S TMJ4  14-Day Forecast
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