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Today's Outlook

December is back

December has returned to southeastern Wisconsin with highs today just barely touching the 30 degree mark in Milwaukee but with a brisk NW breeze the wind chills will be held mainly in the teens today.  Mostly cloudy skies will remain today and into tonight but the wind will be diminishing overnight so despite falling temperatures the wind chills will be staying in the teens.

Thursday is a bit better with partly cloudy skies, lighter winds and seasonable highs around 32 degrees.  Friday will be a near repeat forecast with a bit more sunshine.  Seasonably mild temps and partly cloudy skies will carry us through the weekend.  We are looking closely at a storm system to move through on Monday and Tuesday to bring a windy, wintry mix on Monday, changing over to light snow by Tuesday morning.  This system could give us a white Christmas but the exact tract still needs to be determined so it could end up changing depending on location and temperatures, there is still a chance though.

The chill has returned to Wisconsin but temperatures will be only slightly below normal until the weekend when they get slightly above normal, at least in southern Wisconsin. There are no storms in sight for the next four days but there is another low pressure system coming out of the Pacific Ocean that may just afford an opportunity for a white Christmas by Tuesday night.

Generally by this time of the month the long range forecasters at Climate Prediction Center put out a new thirty day outlook, which would be for the month of January. Through last night they still have not produced the outlook and I am not sure if they are waiting for more model data, unsure of the pattern or just running behind. The pattern across the northern hemisphere is a bit complex right now,  a new pattern that resembles what we call a moderate El Nino effect over the past three weeks, even though the El Nino is very weak at this time.

El Nino is a reversal of the warm waters of the southern Pacific Oceans. During winter a moderate to strong El Nino creates a wet west coast, a mild Midwest and a cool, wet southern United States, similar to the last two weeks. Could the current El Nino be stronger than reported?

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