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Tracking the Tropics: A little more activity now

Tracking the Tropics: A little more activity now

By Meteorologist Jamie Kagol. CREATED Sep 24, 2013 - UPDATED: Sep 27, 2013

Tracking the Tropics - Tropical Depression located in the open waters of the Atlantic about 1150 miles east-southeast of Bermuda with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph.

Over the next couple of days, this system will make slow & erratic movement and may strengthen to a weak tropical storm.

A broad area of low pressure located in the southwestern Caribbean is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized showers.

Any development of this large disturbance should be slow to occur over the next couple of days while it continues moving to the northwest.

The atmosphere is expected to grow drier and remain marginally conducive for development as it moves through the northwestern Caribbean and southern Gulf of Mexico.

This system has a low chance (10%) of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours.

There is a slightly better chance (30%) of this system becoming tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

The forecast track according to many of the more reliable weather models places this system towards the central part of the Gulf of Mexico late this week.

While this may not pose a direct threat to SWFL, it is going to ramp up our tropical moisture starting on Wednesday.

This will bring us a significant increase to our rainfall chances for the rest of the week and the upcoming weekend.