Tracking the Tropics: Watching three
FOX 4 Storm Patrol
CAPE CORAL, Fla. - There are now three areas of interest throughout the tropics, two of which have a medium chance of strengthening to a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.
The first is an elongated area of low pressure extending from the eastern Caribbean across the Lesser Antilles into the tropical Atlantic. While the upper-level wind shear is favorable for further development, the broad nature of the disturbance and the proximity to mid-level dry air is inhibiting any strengthening at this time.
As this area of low pressure continues to the west-northwest, conditions will become a little more favorable giving it a medium chance (50%) of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days. The second area of interest is currently located over the Yucatan Peninsula and moving west at 10 mph. There is potential for strengthening as it moves into the Bay of Campeche within a day or two.
It does have a medium chance (30%) of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days. The third system is a tropical wave associated with an area of low pressure located near the west coast of Africa.
Environmental conditions are expected to remain marginally favorable for development over the next couple of days while it continues moving to the west-northwest at 10-15 mph. It will have a low chance (20%) of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.