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Tracking the Tropics: Chances are

Tracking the Tropics: Chances are

By FOX 4 Storm Patrol. CREATED Sep 4, 2013

CAPE CORAL, Fla. - The broad area of low pressure in the northeastern Caribbean has become better organized over the past couple of days and now has a medium chance (30%) of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.

The upper-level wind shear is low and favorable for some development, but mid-level dry air and land interaction with Hispaniola and Puerto Rico could hamper tropical cyclone formation. This system has a medium chance (50%) of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days. 

The tropical wave over the eastern Bay of Campeche continues to move to the west at 5-10 mph with some potential for development as it moves over warm water and encounters less wind shear. There is a medium chance (20%) of it becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.