Tracking the Tropics: Quiet weekend
CAPE CORAL, Fla. - While the weather remains fairly quiet over the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, there are two areas of interest in the tropical Atlantic. However, upper level wind shear is expected to increase over the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean and the western Atlantic.
The first is a broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave over the west coast of Africa. The environmental conditions appear conducive for further development and a tropical depression may form over the next couple of days. This system has a high chance (60%) of becoming a tropical cyclone.
The second system is a tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This wave will continue to the west heading into an environment of upper level wind shear which will hamper further development. This system has a low chance (20%) of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.